Polling

New polling is coming out now fast and furious, and I can't keep up. There will be endless polling from now to the election. DonkeyRising does a great job of tracking polls and providing really great insight into each polls internals.

Remember, Kerry needs to only pick up one Bush state to win the election. None of Gore's former states are in play. For more than two years I have been saying that Bush can't win Florida again. Kerry is now ahead in Florida by 7.

Some recent headlines:

Strong Lead for Kerry in Key Swing States
Recent SurveyUSA election polls in swing states reveal widening leads for John Kerry:

Michigan: Kerry ahead 52-41 reported August 5

Washington: Kerry ahead 52-43 reported August 3

Pennsylvania: Kerry ahead 53-41 reported August 3

Zogby Polls Say Kerry leads in 13 of 16 Swing States
The Wall St. Journal reports "The latest Zogby Interactive poll, taken during the Democratic convention, shows John Kerry ahead in 13 of the 16 battleground states we track. That is his biggest lead -- in terms of the number of states -- since Zogby began conducting twice-a-month online polls for WSJ.com in late May. Moreover, his lead is greater than the margin of error in five of the states (including Pennsylvania), up from four states just before the convention. And
Mr. Kerry took back narrow leads in Florida and West Virginia."

Kerry Up By 7 In New National Poll
A poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Democracy Corps August 2-5 found that 51 percent of likely voters would vote for John Kerry "if the election were held today," with 44 percent for George Bush.

Kerry Gaining Among Independents
A poll released on August 6th by the University of Pennsylvania's National Annenberg Election Survey concluded "Independents had already preferred Kerry over Bush on the question of who best shared their values and who was most inspiring. But a 47 to 36 percent advantage for Kerry on values went to 52 and 33 percent, and a 44 to 37 percent lead on inspiration rose to 52 and 34 percent."

Kerry Leads By 7 In New FL, NH Polls
In an American Research Group Poll of "likely voters" in Florida reported on August 6th, 50 percent of respondents chose John Kerry, with 43 percent supporting George Bush, 2 percent for Nader and 5 percent undecided.In another ARG poll released August 6th, 49 percent of "likely voters" in New Hampshire supported Kerry, compared to 42 percent for Bush, 2 percent for Nader and 7 percent undecided.

Strategic Vision
An Aug. 2-4 Strategic Vision (R) Poll of Pennsylvania voters finds Kerry/Edwards ahead
51-43

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP
Aug 2-5 Poll by Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Shows Bush approval continues down. Election match-up shows Kerry 49, Bush 43