Tuesday, May 10, 2005

It's Fear, Stupid

I've long maintained that Kerry lost the last election because the American people were afraid, and Bush encouraged and exploited that fear.

Women have historically favored Ds by a large margin. Kerry won the female vote last round by 3 points which is the worst showing in modern memory, and maybe ever.

Today's WaPo tells us that women who voted for Bush out of fear are returning to the Ds in large numbers.
A Democratic polling memo released yesterday found that women, who voted for President Bush last year in large numbers, have begun migrating back to their traditional home in the Democratic Party as the public's agenda has shifted from homeland security and terrorism to domestic concerns such as jobs and the economy.
....

The memo, released by Lake Snell Perry Mermin & Associates Inc., found women picked unnamed Democratic congressional candidates over Republicans by a 13-point margin. It also found that several key groups of women who voted Republican last year are now evenly or almost evenly split between the parties. Married women are now evenly split, while white women favor Democrats by three percentage points. Kerry lost both groups by 11 points.

"Homeland security and terrorism dominated the public's security agenda for several years following September 11th," the memo said. "However, the current focus appears to have shifted from safeguarding against terrorism to a stronger emphasis on issues that hit home financially. In dozens of recent focus groups among many different cohorts of women, concerns like retirement, health care and economic security are trumping the sorts of homeland security concerns that dominated women's issue agenda before the last election."

Domestic issues have always been our strong suit and will be the reason we win elections for the foreseeable future.

The Ds must build a better resume on defense issues, but not at the expense of our bread and butter.

By the way, as 2006 draws near, look for a White House return to fear mongering. It's all they've got.

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