Thursday, August 16, 2007

Rethinking Hillary

Rove was on Rush's show yesterday asserting the impossibility of Hillary being elected POTUS with her negatives polling in "the high 40's".

So the Caucus blog at the NYT's fact checked Mr. Rove and found him a little off base and reported some interesting facts,
....contrary to what Mr. Rove said on Rush Limbaugh’s radio program, her unfavorable rating is about 10 points lower than where he thought it was and her favorables are higher than her unfavorables, although barely.

His point was this: “There’s nobody who has ever won the presidency who started out in that kind of position.”

In fact, Mrs. Clinton’s husband was in that very position and did win. And Mrs. Clinton’s numbers are better than his were at this point in his first campaign for the White House.

In April 1992, only 26 percent of voters had a favorable view of Bill Clinton, while 40 percent viewed him unfavorably, according to a Times/CBS poll. By June 1992, his favorables had plunged further, so that only 16 percent had a favorable opinion, with 40 percent still unfavorable.

After Mr. Clinton won the nomination and after his convention, his favorable rating began to rise. By October 1992, his ratings had become about even, with 34 percent favorable and 35 percent unfavorable.
Is Hillary too polarizing to be elected? I've always thought so, and said so here many times. But we've never seen an election like the one to unfold next year. And Hillary has literally shined on the campaign trial and in debates.

If there ever was a time when Hillary, or even a black Democrat, could be elected POTUS, it's 2008.

Developing.......

UPDATE: I screwed up. I came back from a weekend in Chicago and found a number of comments on this thread with a few spams. In trying to delete the spam I inadvertently deleted some comments and I sincerely apologize. I do not screen my comments and do not delete comments with which I disagree. It was a total accident.

The following were my victims: Kelly Garrett, Rachel Jackson and Melanie. I'm very sorry for this screw-up.

No comments: