Via First Read - msnbc.com,
Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19). Meanwhile, McCain is up among evangelicals (69-21), white men (55-35), men (49-41), whites (47-41), and white suburban women (44-38). However, Obama has a seven-point edge (46-39) among all white women. How important is that lead? NBC/WSJ co-pollster Neil Newhouse (R) explains that Republican candidates always expect to win white men by a substantial margin, but it’s white women that usually decide the race. “If a Republican wins among white women, we usually win that election,” he says, noting that George Bush carried that group in 2000 and 2004.It's good news but it's a long time to November.
UPDATE: This poll was taken last weekend on Friday, June 6, Saturday (when HRC stepped aside) and Sunday. It's reasonable to expect the next several polls to come out to show a nice Obama bump. However, it's a long summer and fall and Obama and McCain's numbers will be rising and falling. I suspect McCain's current 41% support will be his lowest showing of the election cycle.
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