It's clear that Bush is under tremendous pressure from hardliners in the US and Israel to attack Iranian nuclear facilities before leaving office. Likewise, Bush is receiving tremendous resistance to any such attack from within the DoD and at State.
I'm inclined to believe that if Bush intends to attack Iran -- or green light an Israeli attack -- that such an attack would occur after the election. But a pre-election attack is not out of the question. When has Bush ever shied away from being outrageously political? Remember how often the National Threat Advisory was raised and lowered in the run up to the 2004 election? Did you know it has not been raised a single time since two days after the DNC convention in 2004? But I digress.
The widespread media assumption is that any pre-election attack on Iran would automatically benefit John McCain.
Let's assume that Israel makes a pre-election midnight assault on Iran with US logistical support. Why wouldn't Iran retaliate with as much force as they could muster including rocket attacks on Israel and shutting down the Straights of Hormuz -- which is much easier to do than many imagine. The mere threat of attacking oil ships passing through the Straits is enough to stop civilian unarmed shipping.
Gas shoots to $10 a gallon on an already extremely 'war of choice' weary nation. Can you imagine how damaging to our lives and national economy such gas prices would be?
You're sucking wind if you think attacking Iran plays well for the "bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran" candidate.