Tim flags this from today's WSJ,
Just 9% of women who supported Clinton in the primaries say they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his inclusion of Palin on the Republican ticket, according to a poll of 800 women conducted on Aug. 31 and Sept. 1.The candidate who gets 52% of the female vote will win the election, which is why Palin was chosen in the first place.
A majority —55%–said Palin’s inclusion on the ticket makes them less likely to vote for McCain, who will be nominated at the Republican convention tonight.
...According to the poll, 59% of women said they believed McCain chose Palin “out of political considerations” rather than because “he believes his choice has the experience and qualifications.” Some 29% said Democratic nominee Barack Obama made his vice presidential choice, Sen. Joe Biden, for political reasons...
The poll suggests that women support the Democratic ticket by 52% to 41% over the Republicans. That is about three percentage points ahead of Sen. John Kerry’s lead over President George W. Bush among women in 2004, the pollsters said.