Saturday, January 03, 2009

Senator Al Franken

Eric Kleefeld reports that the Mn recount is over and Franken holds a 225 vote lead.

Kleefeld goes on to explain that despite the thin margin, it appears to be enough to survive further challenge,
With these new figures, it's worth examining just how slim the odds would be of Coleman finding some way to win this thing, should he follow through on his campaign's vow to challenge the result in court.

First, there's Coleman's claim that 25 selected precincts double-counted a bunch of absentee votes for Franken, netting Franken about 110 votes. During the recount, the state Supreme Court ruled that Coleman could only raise this issue after the recount concluded and an apparent winner was determined. But if courts agree with him on that and took those votes away from Franken, Coleman would still lose. Then there's the canvassing board's decision to restore to Franken a net total of 46 votes that went missing from a single precinct during the recount. Coleman's campaign has indicated that they plan to contest that decision, but winning on it would still have him behind.
There are more absentee ballots in dispute which Coleman says he will go to court to count. Kleefeld downplays these additional ballots, but the Star-Tribune seems to take them a little more seriously.

If it is as Kleefeld describes, despite all the bluster, I suspect that Coleman will concede shortly after the canvas board certifies the count. What's the upside for Coleman if he believes he can't win?

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