Monday, May 17, 2010

National Congressional Ballot

I tweeted earlier that TPM's Congressional Generic Ballot showed Democrats at +0.6. I was surprised by that number, so I wanted to check Pollster's National Congressional Ballot, and sure enough, Democrats are +.06.


Click on image to enlarge


Of course this is just a snapshot of a point in time, but it's nevertheless pretty surprising and very much contrary to the media meme which is just a regurgitation of the GOP talking point of a GOP landslide in November. This doesn't mean Democrats are going to pick-up seats in the midterms, but assuming the trend holds (and there is every reason to believe it will) it does suggest Republicans will fall far short of their goal of retaking the House or even matching Democrats pickups in Reagan's first midterm when Republicans lost 26 seats.

Friday, May 14, 2010

Sunday, May 09, 2010

The angry mob eats its own

Sen Bob Bennett (R-UT) was first elected to the Senate in 1993 and has been a reliable Republican vote ever since. He steadfastly opposes a woman's right to choose; did everything he could to ensure gays never gained equal protection (Bennett was the sole committee vote - of either party - to oppose the Domestic Partnership Benefits and Obligations Act, which would provide benefits to the domestic partners federal employees); equally opposed citizenship or equal protection for brown people; thought Bush's domestic wiretapping was a great idea; repeatedly opposed SCHIP, and actually believed a tax cut for wealthy people could solve any problem.

Bennett's reward for this loyalty was to be unceremoniously denied renomination at the State Republican convention.

Republicans have foolishly and irresponsibly whipped their ignorant base into an angry mob that they can't control.

Joe Klein sums up,
We are in a moment when anger seems more important than experience or wisdom. Sometimes anger is justified. Right now, a sober review of the problems we face in a very unstable world requires something more: it requires a judicious national conversation about the decisions we make as a people. Are we spending too much or too little? Are we taxing too much or too little? If we're spending and taxing too much, which services need to be curtailed--and I mean, real services that cost real money, like defense and entitlements. If we can't decide what to cut, then perhaps we need to tax ourselves more--if so, how and what should we tax?

The fact that we can't seem to have this sort of conversation right now, that's it is ripped away from the vast majority of decent Americans by telecharlatans and infotainers, does not speak well for our ability to survive as the greatest nation in the history of the world. The departure of Senator Bob Bennett is a small event in a national tidal wave of witless extremism and thoughtlessness.