Tuesday, November 06, 2012

The Democratic electoral advantage: The Blue Wall

Democrats come into presidential elections with a lock on 242 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House.  This is an advantage they didn't have even 20 years ago.

Ron Brownstein calls this advantage "The Blue Wall"
If Obama wins Ohio, the only realistic way for Romney to win is to crack what I've called the "blue wall" -- the 18 states that have voted Democratic in each of the past five presidential elections. Here's why: the blue-wall states, which include the 11 states from Maryland to Maine (except New Hampshire); the three West Coast states plus Hawaii; and Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois and Wisconsin in the Upper Midwest, offer a combined 242 Electoral College votes (including the District of Columbia). If Obama holds that 242, adds the five votes from New Mexico (that both sides assume he will), the six from Nevada (which appear increasingly solid in his corner) and Ohio's 18, that gives him 271, regardless of what happens in any other swing state.
This advantage exists, by the way, as a result of GOP extremism in reproductive rights.

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